The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles: How to Take Advantage of Time-Proven Market Patterns - Hardcover

by Jeffrey A. Hirsch (Author), Douglas A. Kass (Foreword by)

Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles

While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles.

Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market.

• The methods found here follow everything from presidential election cycles to the "Santa Claus" effect
• Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns
• The strategies explored are easy-to-implement, and based on research that has proven profitable over the course of time

For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.

Front Jacket

While predicting what direction the stock market will take at any given moment is difficult, if not impossible, the market does exhibit well-defined and predictable cyclical patterns. For example, history shows that the best six-month period for stocks is November through April and that by moving into stocks in October-November and out in April-May you can significantly reduce risk while increasing profits. What other important lessons does history have to teach about the market? What are the key cycles and patterns you should know about in order to optimize your investment strategies? Find out in The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles.

Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns, this book draws upon the Hirsch Organization's five decades of meticulous historical research and market analysis to help you understand market cycles and what drives them. More importantly, it shares time-tested cycle-based trading and investing strategies that can dramatically boost your ability to capture market-beating returns, year-in and year-out, through bull markets, bear markets, and everything in between.

If you're looking for a safe, proven alternative to conventional buy-and-hold stock strategies, this book is for you. A concise and commonsense guide, it:

• Brings together the best, time-tested indicators, patterns, and seasonalities developed and refined over the past fifty years
• Discusses longer term boom/bust economic cycles as well as shorter term tendencies involving the best hours, days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market
• Shows how to use easy-to-implement strategies that have been proven to beat the market more than 85 percent of the time
• Describes an array of highly reliable event-driven cycles and patterns, such as presidential election cycles, the "Santa Claus Rally," and the best six-months strategy
• Explores, in-depth, the long- and short-term impacts of key exogenous factors on the market, including war, peace, inflation, political shifts, and more

Providing simple, actionable investment strategies that have stood the test of time, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles offers you a golden opportunity to learn from history and profit from its lessons.

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Praise for The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles

"Even though history is a guide, but never gospel, Jeffrey Hirsch has written the bible on historical patterns that investors will come to regard as an invaluable guide."
--Sam Stovall, Chief Equity Strategist, S&P Capital IQ

"The Stock Trader's Almanac has been the bible on market cycles for the last 46 years, chronicling the ebbs and flows of markets and giving us a definitive view of history. As a student of cycles, the book sits near my desk for ready reference. Now, Jeff Hirsch distills that long channel of wisdom into this little tome, helping us discern the important cycles from the day to day noise. For the seasoned investor and beginning novice, this book will help you cut through the fog of volatility to see your way through to confident investing."
--John Mauldin, President, Millennium Wave Advisors

"I'm an avid consumer of everything Jeff writes--and this new tour de force of what has and hasn't happened is no exception--and should be an eye-opener for most investors, amateur or professional."
--Ken Fisher, CEO, Fisher Investments, 28-year Forbes columnist, New York Times bestselling author

"Jeff does an admirable task of teaching market history, sharing invaluable cyclical strategies, and carrying on the work of his father, Yale Hirsch. The torch has been passed; the path is bright."
--Larry Williams, Fund Manager

Author Biography

JEFFREY A. HIRSCH is the Chief Market Strategist of Magnet Æ Fund, President of the Hirsch Organization, Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, and coauthor of the Commodity Trader's Almanac. He's worked with founder Yale Hirsch for over twenty years, taking over for him in 2001. Mr. Hirsch appears frequently on CNBC, CNN, Bloomberg, FOX Business, and many other national and international media outlets to discuss market cycles, seasonality, trading patterns and forecasts, and historical trends. He also edits the firm's digital toolkit, Almanac Investor, a subscription-based product including investor alerts, market data, and research tools.